WorldWide
Tech & Science. Francisco De Jesùs.
MSFT subsidies could mean US$499 Surface price and death for Android tablets,says Analyst.
The analysts’ WitsView service recently published a note in which research director Eric Chiou says that Surface devices’ 32GB of storage is a higher spec than that on most ten-inch Android tablets, justifying a higher price of US$599.
At that price Chiou feels Surface will “inevitably cannibalize
ultrabook sales” and goes on to say that “Microsoft may not be pleased
to see a competition between its own products.” Consumers may also be
confused by the overlapping prices.
One way out, Chiou suggests, is for Microsoft to dip into its colossal trove of cash and subsidise Surfaces so they emerge to US$499, a ploy he says the company has done before when it took XBOX to market. The results of that subsidy program speak for themselves, as XBOX is now the number one console. A US$499 price would also slot surface in nicely between the iPad and ultrabooks.
Such subsidies could be bad news for Android tablet players, with Chiou offering the following scenario:
Surface may stand out in the market by sacrificing profits or getting subsidies from Microsoft, while the remaining brands are unlikely to possess the ability and will to do so. Undoubtedly, customers are expected to take the price of Surface as a benchmark for every single prospective Windows 8 tablets; that is, Microsoft’s Surface with an intentionally lowered price may decrease the price flexibility that affects its brand partners’ earning capacity, and even further impact their desire to launch new products.
That’s not all good news for Microsoft, as fewer or less-happy
tablet-makers also means fewer potential Windows 8 tablet manufacturers.
WitsView nonetheless predicts that of the 94 million tablets it expects to be sold in 2012, four million will run Windows 8.
That’s decent uptake, however, as the new devices are tipped to
emerge on October 26th. If we work on crude averages alone, without
accounting for sales spikes pre-Christmas, four million Windows 8 slabs
in sixty-odd days will represent at least 15% of tablets sold in the
most-frenzied months of the selling cycle
Press Release:
TrendForce: Surface to Enter the Tablet PC Market, Pricing Strategy Challenging, Ultrabook Cannibalization Likely
Then the PC industry is putting efforts into
developing Win 8 tablets, Microsoft chose to take the lead by releasing its
branded Surface tablet PC, showing a purpose in supporting its new OS
(operating system) and further increasing prominence of Windows 8 tablet PCs. WitsView, a research division of TrendForce, indicates that the introduction of
Surface has made a stir to the tablet PC market and is projected to dominate the
market outlook with its veiled pricing.
WitsView’s
research director, Eric Chiou, notes that Surface adopts a 10.6” HD (1366 x
768) and Full HD (1920 x 1080) panel, while the built-in storage capacity of
its entry-level model is directly upgraded from mainstream 16GB to 32GB,
posting a higher specification in both size and hardware compared to a
mainstream 10.1” Android tablet PC, making the reasonable pricing of Surface to
start at $599 at least in response to the higher cost. Inevitably, the higher
price may not only hold back some interested buyers, but also overlap with the
price of ultrabook, Microsoft and Intel’s hit of this year. Surface is designed
to mirror notebook functions, stressing the convenience of an ultra-thin
keyboard; thus, once its price is set, Surface is expected to inevitably
cannibalize ultrabook sales. Microsoft may not be pleased to see a competition
between its own products.
On the other hand, low-pricing strategy
could be also practical. Eric Chiou points out that Microsoft’s significant
capital is indisputable; in the past, Microsoft decreased product prices
through subsidy programs and successfully secured the dominance of Xbox360 in
the home entertainment market in a short time. By duplicating the marketing
strategy and applying it on Surface, a pricing drop to $499, close to
mainstream tablet PC price such as iPad and Android is possible. Along with the
prominent specification and modest price, Surface is expected to trigger
consumer spending, shortening the time to popularize Windows 8 tablet and
further leading its brand partners to have better performance in selling and
promoting Windows 8 tablet PCs.
On the downside, WitsView believes that a strong subsidy program
may simultaneously shorten the time required to expand the market share while
bringing about the risk of misleading consumers to incorrect price. Due to
higher authorization fees for the operating system, cost gap between Windows 8
and Android tablet PC exists to a certain extent. Surface may stand out in the
market by sacrificing profits or getting subsidies from Microsoft, while the
remaining brands are unlikely to possess the ability and will to do so.
Undoubtedly, customers are expected to take the price of Surface as a benchmark
for every single prospective Windows 8 tablets; that is, Microsoft’s Surface
with an intentionally lowered price may decrease the price flexibility that
affects its brand partners’ earning capacity, and even further impact their
desire to launch new products. Thus, Microsoft may be facing more obstacles
when duplicating its successful experience in the PC market to the tablet PC
market once it loses support from its powerful partners.
In terms of the impact of Surface on
2012 tablet PC market, WitsView concludes that while Windows 8 models’
joining the tablet market was well expected, the introduction of a single model
is temporarily unlikely to change the estimated market size before Surface
pricing is determined. WitsView restates that tablet PC market is expected to
reach 94 million units in 2012, among which Windows 8 OS is projected to
achieve 4.3% penetration rate, equal to shipments of 4 million units.
Source: TheRegister via Trendforce
No comments:
Post a Comment